Jurnal Ilmiah

Accuracy Evaluation of the WHO Laboratory-Based Cardiovascular Risk Chart in Predicting Cardiovascular Risk

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Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. The WHO Cardiovascular Risk Chart Laboratory-Based was developed as a screening tool to predict the 10-year risk of CVD events. However, its validity in Indonesia remains to be evaluated. This study aims to evaluate the accuracy of the WHO Cardiovascular Risk Chart Laboratory-Based and to analyze the relationship between risk factors such as age, gender, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol level, and diabetes mellitus status and the occurrence of CVD. This is a quantitative study with a retrospective cross-sectional approach using secondary data from outpatient medical records at RSUP Dr. Sitanala from January 2024 to March 2025. A total of 210 respondents were included. Data were analyzed using univariate analysis, chi-square tests, and diagnostic tests using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve to obtain values of AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, LR⁺, LR⁻, and accuracy. A total of 107 respondents (51%) were diagnosed with CVD. The AUC value was 0.564 (p = 0.107; 95% CI: 0.487–0.642), indicating low predictive ability. Sensitivity was 66.36%, specificity 41.75%, PPV 54.2%, NPV 54.43%, LR⁺ 1.139, LR⁻ 0.806, and overall prediction accuracy was 54.3%. Significant associations were found between gender, smoking status, and total cholesterol level with the occurrence of CVD (p < 0.05). The WHO Cardiovascular Risk Chart Laboratory-Based demonstrated low predictive ability in the Indonesian cohort, different from validation in Malaysia and Sri Lanka, so local calibration is needed. Several risk factors showed significant associations with CVD occurrence.

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Ketersediaan

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

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No. Panggil

610.3 Mar a

Penerbit

Pontianak : Jurnal Teknologi Kesehatan Borneo., 2026

Deskripsi Fisik

Jurnal Teknologi Kesehatan Borneo Vol. 7 (1), 1-8

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

2723-3782

Klasifikasi

610.3

Tipe Isi

Keperawatan

Tipe Media

Profesi Ners

Tipe Pembawa

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Edisi

Vol. 7 (1), 1-8 (2026)

Subjek

Cardiovascular Disease
Risk
Validity
Accuracy
WHO Chart

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

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